Dr. Ma is a long-term reader of this website. He sent a 2023-10-12 article published in The Economist on September 28, 2023 Places claiming to be central hotspots may just have bad data (where it sounds like a hundred years old hotspots may just hav...
Dr. Ma is a long-term reader of this website. He sent a 2023-10-12 article published in The Economist on September 28, 2023 Places claiming to be central hotspots may just have bad data (where it sounds like a hundred years old hotspots may just have wrong data).
This article opens up: "The Osmanthus is named for the long-term poverty of its residents. …… Therefore, researchers seeking eternal medicines have been asking Osmanthus for secrets for a long time. Vegetable-rich diets, staying alive and purposefulness are suggested as candidates. But a preprint study provides a relatively bland explanation for the significant long-term poverty reported in some parts of the world: data errors."
The "a preprint study" mentioned in this paragraph is Supercentenarian and remarkable age records exhibit patterns indicating of clerical errors and pension fraud. The author is Saul Justin Newman, a researcher at the University of Australia.
This paper analyzes the so-called "blue belts" (i.e., long-supported areas) around the world, and the result is that the data is problematic. The part about Oshiro is this saying:
Oshiro's "blue belt" is the area with the largest number of 100-year-olds among all counties in Japan, and is still famous for its longevity. However, according to data from the Japanese Statistics Bureau, the per capita elderly population is the smallest, the per capita killing rate is the highest, the poorest fertility ratio over the age of 65, the second lowest median income, and the highest unemployment rate in about 47 counties.Although it was previously claimed that eating vegetables and sweet potatoes is health-friendly, Oyster has the lowest per capita sweet potato intake, which is only 64% of Japan's average intake. Okinawa also has the lowest per capita consumption of oily fish such as fruits, vegetables, seafood, taro, beans, roots, pickles, and oily fish. Okinawa ranks second in per capita beer intake, fourth in alcohol consumption, the most "low-price hotels", the most "spread" weddings, and the highest per capita KFC intake. According to the estimates of the US Department of Agriculture, Okinawa people eat an average of 14 boxes of canned meat each year. The childlike rate in
Oxa County is 36%, which is 15% higher than that in other counties. Mortality rates in Okayama appear after 50 years of age, and therefore age-specific mortality rates in older adults are far below the national average: this image shows data unreliable and misinformed age. The minimum wage in Okinawa County is the second lowest (only one yen away from the lowest), the lowest household savings, the highest proportion of income aid over 65 years old, the highest poverty rate, and the worst average weight index among all 47 counties.
Since the Blue Region survey, these rankings have not changed significantly and do not mean that they have been suddenly deviating from the traditional lifestyle recently. Similarly, it seems unusual for a large number of demographic technicians, epidemiologists and public health scientists familiar with the concept of "blue area". There are other well-known error drivers in the Japanese life registration system.
The birth and marriage records in Japan are not produced by central bureaucracies, but are recorded by family members as "Koseki" documents, and then documented in local municipal halls and government offices. The combination of citizen self-reports and government preparations allows for misrepresentation without fraud. In the zodiac, the widespread possibility of this error is also more complicated by different types of error processes.
The massive bombing and invasion of Okinawa destroyed the entire town, erasing about 90% of Koseki's birth and death records, and areas outside Miyagi and Yaeyama Islands suffered almost universal losses. After the war, the Oscars then used the dates in the memory of different calendars to request a replacement document from the US-led military government (which basically does not speak Japanese). The number of releases of these alternative Koseki documents is an alternative indicator of the strength of U.S. bomb and can predict 79% of the change in the status of a hundred-year-old.
This article was uploaded to the bioRxiv preprint website on May 3, 2020, and has not been officially published to this day. This shows that the probability of it being officially published is very low. Strangely, why The Economist will report this article that may never be officially published nearly three and a half years later.
In fact, I found a more meaningful related article: 2023-10-1 published in Salon's “Blue zones " have captured health and longevity experts. But are they real or statistical grift? ("Blue zones" attract the attention of health and longevity experts. But are they real or statistical bluffs?).
Author Philip Finkelstein visited Dan Buettner, founder of Blue Zones, a group focused on long-term proposals. The founder’s opinion on that article was: “In 1999, when I was there, Osamu was nurturing the longest-lasting human being in the history of the world. Since then, the influence of American naval bases, fast food restaurants and today’s trans-Osamu highways have brought American lifestyles and chronic diseases to Osamu. Osamu has now become the most unhealthy county in Japan. Osamu 90 The death rate for people over the age is still low because they have not changed their habits, but middle-aged people are the worst. Over the next few decades, they will be the fastest deaths in Japan." The author also asked a spokesperson for the Okinawa Center for Science Research and received the reply: "The primary reason for shortening of Okinawa's life is the lack of education, and the heavy impact of education not fighting the West has not been the heavy impact of the elderly's grandfathers and grandmothers did not teach their children or children. How to make traditional food, what to eat, and why should one eat a long lifestyle still exist among older people, and it is very good, but it has not been promoted. ”
From these two paragraphs, the negative data about the oscillation in that article came from nearly a few years, so it is obviously inappropriate to use these data to overturn the "longest oscillation residents" established ten years ago. This may be why this paper has been delayed for so long and has not been officially published.
As for whether Okinawa Island residents are really the longest, I personally think it is not that important. After all, the so-called "Okayama Island Secret" is nothing more than "balanced diet and good exercise".
Taiwan’s Ministry of Welfare has established a Healthy Jiujiu Video Information Platform, which currently has more than 1,500 videos, one of which is balanced diet, and the other is the new model of home sports, which is healthy.
Original text: Is Okinawa Island the longest residents really?Responsible editor: Gu Zihuan
